By IDC Government Insides and Empirica GmbH, 2009.
Europe's return to economic growth in the next years (2010-2015) may follow very different paths, depending on the role of ICT-based innovation. According to the scenarios developed by this study, possible futures vary from a return to moderate growth (Back to Normal) to the take-off of innovation in the medium term (Investing in the Future) or in the very near future (Turbo Knowledge Economy); but there are also risks of a slow development path with little innovation (Tradition Wins) or flat growth with a struggle to compete with emerging Asian economies (Stagnation). These scenarios highlight the critical role of e-skills availability to enable European competitiveness, but also the substantial risks of e-skills gaps and mismatches whenever ICT-based innovation accelerates its growth. However the factors of change are combined in the scenarios, the lack of human resources with the right skills remains a problem for Europe. There is a need for effective and proactive policies to sustain ICT investments and insure that e-Skills do not become a bottleneck for innovative enterprises and organizations in the private and public sector.
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