Renee Heller, Yvonne Deng & Pieter van Breevoort for Ecofys, 2012
The European Union has adopted clear emission reduction, energy savings and renewable energy targets for 2020: 20% emission reduction of GHG compared to 1990; 20% of primary energy savings and 20% renewable energy share in energy consumption. Even if the targets are met in 2020 this does not ensure that climate change is kept within 2°C in the long run. We have derived an ambitious, yet feasible energy scenario for the EU27 for 2030 which is consistent with WWF‘s global TER vision for a fully renewable global energy system by 2050. Our EU27 energy scenario envisages a share of renewable energy sources (RES) of 41% in 2030, which includes 19% from sustainable biomass. Within the power sector, which is easier to decarbonise than heat and fuels, the scenario reaches a 65% share of RES. Energy savings on primary energy are estimated to be ~38% in this scenario compared to the 2007 baseline. Energy related emission reductions compared to 1990 are estimated to be 50%. Compared to other analysed EU scenarios for 2030 the TER EU27 analysis has low final energy demand and a RES amount comparable to other studies.
 Ecofys - Renewable Energy: a 2030 scenario for EU | [ ] |
