User Rating: 2 / 5

Star ActiveStar ActiveStar InactiveStar InactiveStar Inactive

Refik Erzan, Umut Kuzubaş, Nilüfer Yıldız
Boğaziçi University, 2006

This is an econometric study aimed at estimating the eventual immigration from Turkey to the EU when Turkey becomes a full member and restrictions on labor mobility are removed. The findings suggest that a successful accession period with high growth reduces and gradually eliminates the migration pressures. The study warns that lower growth and higher unemployment associated with a suspension in Turkey's accession process may produce more immigrants than a successful membership.

Download this file (Turkey_EU_scenarios.pdf)Turkey_EU_scenarios.pdf[ ]