Refik Erzan, Umut Kuzubaş, Nilüfer Yıldız
Boğaziçi University, 2006
This is an econometric study aimed at estimating the eventual immigration from Turkey to the EU when Turkey becomes a full member and restrictions on labor mobility are removed. The findings suggest that a successful accession period with high growth reduces and gradually eliminates the migration pressures. The study warns that lower growth and higher unemployment associated with a suspension in Turkey's accession process may produce more immigrants than a successful membership.